Stephen F. Austin
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
740  Laurie Byrd JR 21:16
947  Shelby Pesek SO 21:30
1,208  Rebecca Blubaugh SR 21:46
1,485  Katrina Fite FR 22:03
1,565  Samantha Ottman FR 22:08
1,985  Rana Ryan FR 22:34
2,307  Bridgette Kozar FR 22:56
2,377  Mary Luster FR 23:00
National Rank #184 of 340
South Central Region Rank #13 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 3.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Laurie Byrd Shelby Pesek Rebecca Blubaugh Katrina Fite Samantha Ottman Rana Ryan Bridgette Kozar Mary Luster
Cowboy Jamboree 09/28 1213 21:06 21:29 21:51 22:04 22:10 22:23 22:26 23:01
Alabama Crimson Classic 10/18 1216 21:30 21:14 21:55 21:40 22:09 22:29 23:07
Southland Championships 11/01 1187 20:49 21:39 21:35 22:26 22:11 22:48 23:38
South Central Region Championships 11/15 1238 21:34 21:41 21:40 22:00 22:42 22:37





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 12.9 350 0.3 0.8 2.7 6.2 17.4 50.2 17.0 5.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Laurie Byrd 45.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Shelby Pesek 57.0
Rebecca Blubaugh 70.8
Katrina Fite 84.3
Samantha Ottman 88.3
Rana Ryan 109.0
Bridgette Kozar 125.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 0.8% 0.8 9
10 2.7% 2.7 10
11 6.2% 6.2 11
12 17.4% 17.4 12
13 50.2% 50.2 13
14 17.0% 17.0 14
15 5.4% 5.4 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0